Your Evening Recap for Wednesday, February 21stEquity markets retreated for the 3rd day on Wednesday as investors weighed details from the FOMC minutes. The minutes reveal a Fed uneasy about cutting interest rates because of the inflation risk. Economic activity is steady and on track for a soft landing; easing up on rates too soon would reinvigorate activity and inflation. In that scenario, the FOMC would have to hike rates again soon and possibly keep them there indefinitely. As it is, higher for longer may mean longer than the market is pricing.
Earnings from tech giant NVIDIA will be the driving force for market activity on Thursday. The risk is expectations. In the last twelve months, the market has pushed NVIDIA's share price up 360% on ramping AI activity and may have outrun reality. Even with a blowout report, the market is overbought, and the trade is crowded, setting it up for correction. Without NVIDIA and big tech to drive it, the S&P 500 may have nowhere to go but lower. Featured: If everyone knew this, Wall Street would go out of business (Base Camp) |
 Patient investors look for safer stocks when the VIX begins to pop to protect their portfolio or expose themselves to high-quality assets at potential discounts. Realty Income (NYSE: O) could be one of those picks this cycle as a part of a real estate stock play. A new cycle is about to start, this time sponsored by potential interest rate cuts coming from the Federal Reserve (the Fed), and money will likely shift into those sectors that have underperformed in the past year due to higher interest rates. Realty Income could provide you with... Read The Full Story > |  You may have seen this chart before… But you're probably looking at it all wrong.
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 The German government said Europe's largest economy was in "troubled waters" and slashed its growth forecast for this year as it struggles with a lack of skilled labor, excessive bureaucracy, high interest rates and lagging investment in new projects — while a relatively modest set of tax breaks for business remains blocked in the legislature.The growth forecast was lowered to 0.2% from the previous forecast from last fall of 1.3%. That would follow a shrinking of the economy by 0.3% for all of last year.Germany is recovering "more slowly than we hoped" from the shock of Russia cutting off most supplies of natural gas after its invasion of Ukraine, Vice Chancellor Robert Habeck said as he presented the government's annual economic report. Read The Full Story > |
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